Decision Desk HQ Shifts Florida Governor’s Race Forecast to Toss Up
Decision Desk HQ updated its forecast for the Florida governor's race, changing its classification from 'Leans Republican' to 'Toss Up'.
Tampa St. Petersburg, FL, September 23, 2026 —
Decision Desk HQ has updated its election forecast for the Florida governor’s race, reclassifying the contest from ‘Leans Republican’ to ‘Toss Up’.
The shift indicates that the race is now considered too close to call, with neither major party holding a significant advantage according to the forecaster. Previously, the race was categorized as ‘Leans Republican’, suggesting a slight edge for the Republican candidate. The new ‘Toss Up’ designation implies a more competitive environment.
Decision Desk HQ is a non-partisan organization that provides election analysis and forecasting. The specifics of the factors influencing this particular update were not provided in the summary of the trend. Information regarding the current candidates, their parties, or the specific election year for which this forecast applies was not detailed.
A ‘Toss Up’ classification typically means that polling data, fundraising, candidate positioning, and other relevant indicators suggest a highly contested election. This classification is distinct from categories like ‘Likely Republican’, ‘Lean Republican’, ‘Toss Up’, ‘Lean Democrat’, or ‘Likely Democrat’, each representing different levels of expected competitiveness.
Further details regarding the timeline of the previous classification or the specific data points that led to the change from ‘Leans Republican’ to ‘Toss Up’ were not made available in the provided information.
Story summarized from the original created by Brianna Leonard on www.wfla.com, see more information here.
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